Normal-Contest
0xf455a5c014100772a3db8858c596d290b7fcd0cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$18.36
Total PnL
$-23.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.38
$1.38
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
23 shares @ 17.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-1.27
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-1.05
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?$3.11May 9, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.07May 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$5.21May 5, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$16.62Apr 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$4.00Apr 6, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Mar 24, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$2.00Mar 5, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$17.39Feb 28, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.00Feb 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$2.00Feb 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$2.00Feb 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$4.00Feb 14, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$0.00Dec 28, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies UFO files before 2027?$0.00Dec 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.77Dec 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.40Dec 7, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$8.00Dec 7, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".