0xf475136c57e4696a4a288c60b7b98269b8dbe51f
0xf475136c57e4696a4a288c60b7b98269b8dbe51f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$80.33
Total PnL
$-13.74
Realised
$-21.86
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
29 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.74
$13.24
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
54 shares @ 25.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.34
$-2.58
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
11 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.69
$0.22
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
9 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.42
$0.23
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
16 shares @ 53.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.13
$-1.43
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 shares @ 46.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.65
$1.06
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
7 shares @ 21.1¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.80
$1.32
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.29
$-0.85
- NO
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 60.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$0.65
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$7.20Apr 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $1.00Apr 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$1.76Apr 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$18.52Apr 23, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$2.74Apr 23, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.98Apr 23, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$7.49Apr 23, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$2.35Apr 16, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.68Apr 11, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$5.04Apr 11, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$8.85Apr 11, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$15.52Apr 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$8.47Apr 9, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$7.20Apr 9, 23:01 UTC
- SPLITMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$50.00Apr 9, 06:32 UTC
- MERGEWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$6.00Apr 2, 00:57 UTC
- MERGEWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$5.00Apr 1, 14:22 UTC
- MERGEIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$18.00Apr 1, 10:09 UTC
- MERGEH.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?$67.00Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$15.20Mar 29, 01:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".