Warmhearted-Infrastructure
0xf4f081600830392b761b8d5930393f33efb08646
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$516.32
Total PnL
$-73.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
130 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.30
$5.39
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.50
$22.50
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
50 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.50
$11.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.25
$0.25
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
47 shares @ 58.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.70
$5.61
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 67.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.92
$-0.37
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$29.50
$1.30
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
17 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.88
$-0.26
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.40
$1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?$5.88May 19, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?$6.60May 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?$12.59May 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?$0.41May 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$12.60May 19, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$6.60May 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.77May 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 18?$70.00May 19, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.91May 17, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$12.80May 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$7.20May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$15.13May 16, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$19.00May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$20.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$5.55May 15, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$6.00May 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$63.00May 14, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$70.92May 14, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.02May 12, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$17.29May 10, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $21.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".