0xf5254ce03e3d4cb1d870c62cbcd5beb71318559d
0xf5254ce03e3d4cb1d870c62cbcd5beb71318559d
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$339.99
Total PnL
$-14.12
Realised
$-3.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.94
$10.94
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.92
$6.92
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.71
$-0.29
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
719 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.28
$-0.72
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
44 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.60
$4.62
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
25 shares @ 33.5¢·now 59.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.25
$6.72
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
29 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$13.52
$0.44
- YES
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
71 shares @ 68.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.65
$-38.18
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22 shares @ 32.5¢·now 34.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.81
$0.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.90May 18, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$2.11May 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.53May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.77May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.04May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.82May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.82May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.61May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.22May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.41May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$12.74May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.16May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$2.44May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$0.16May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.17May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$18.85May 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$3.50May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$2.61May 18, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$25.74May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$16.66May 17, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".