Recent-Fog
0xf5d1d070865cfac18c29aa9fc12eda659b9767cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-4.4K
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
800 shares @ 62.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$742.30
$239.97
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
400 shares @ 69.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$378.00
$100.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
599 shares @ 40.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$284.59
$44.93
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
437 shares @ 51.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.36
$14.42
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$216.32
$-83.71
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
255 shares @ 81.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$212.59
$5.64
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$190.00
$30.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$159.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 59.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$159.00
$40.71
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
301 shares @ 50.3¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.47
$-10.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$29.00May 15, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 14, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$0.00May 14, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.00May 14, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$200.00May 14, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$400.00May 14, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$491.56May 14, 12:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$149.44May 13, 15:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.39May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$219.62May 12, 02:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $143.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".