0xf68590cda8d58411fd7da6ed18b50a3774761ddc
0xf68590cda8d58411fd7da6ed18b50a3774761ddc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$200.86
Total PnL
$-26.87
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
60 shares @ 73.4¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.74
$-9.22
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
38 shares @ 77.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.66
$4.71
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
33 shares @ 75.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.46
$6.38
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
14 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$14.27
$1.73
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 77.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.42
$2.21
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.05
$0.40
- NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.73
$0.18
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
34 shares @ 49.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$9.19
$-7.78
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 75.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$9.02
$-0.63
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
14 shares @ 86.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.10
$-4.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$0.10May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$3.08May 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$3.25May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$2.83May 11, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$2.90May 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$9.65May 11, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$3.71May 11, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.81May 11, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$2.89May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.85May 10, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.85May 10, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$19.75May 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.06May 10, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump or Melania say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the Military Mothers event?$2.93May 10, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$10.16May 10, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$9.43May 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$9.65May 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.83May 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.83May 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.83May 10, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".