Posh-Illustration
0xf686243253b6db7297f92e733401f699de29c793
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$68.22
Total PnL
$-393.65
Realised
$18.50
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
37000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$-18.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
35690 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.84
$-17.84
- YES
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.90
$-1.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.54
$-2.46
- YES
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 53.6¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
21 shares @ 9.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.83
$-0.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
17 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$-0.77
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
60 shares @ 6.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.43
$-2.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.18May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.03May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.11May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.06May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.20May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.11May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$33.60May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$31.20May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.33May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$4.96May 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2.37May 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.02May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.05May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.02May 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.01May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.01May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.04May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.07May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$5.25May 17, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".