Nice-Fiction
0xf6f4444afe370434e4286c586ed9d455fe02f673
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$22.34
Total PnL
$-727.34
Realised
$-0.27
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 72.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$7.28
$-2.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
1335 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
173 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
103 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
96 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
75 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.07May 18, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$8.99May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2.07May 18, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$8.06May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.64May 18, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.78May 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.07May 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$4.06May 18, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00May 18, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$14.11May 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.05May 18, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.06May 18, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 18, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$8.89May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.07May 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$8.06May 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$97.46May 18, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00May 17, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.00May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.09May 17, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".