Terrific-Epoxy
0xf784e9a7a354c644c1af25f1ee9e1b68b91fab48
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$8.9K
Realised
$9.4K
Win rate
79%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- NO
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$793.20
$393.20
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1516 shares @ 32.4¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$515.34
$23.68
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
416 shares @ 63.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$270.72
$7.89
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
256 shares @ 88.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$239.24
$11.83
- YES
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
515 shares @ 21.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.98
$48.89
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 88.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.31
$1.94
- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.34
$0.32
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 92.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.34
$0.21
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
40 shares @ 84.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.19
$2.38
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
30 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.05
$0.95
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$800.00May 18, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$9.87May 18, 03:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.31May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.29May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$27.84May 17, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?$3.30May 17, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.89May 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$4.45May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$8.00May 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.64May 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.32May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.29May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.17May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.24May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.06May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.15May 16, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.00May 16, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".