Watchful-Motive
0xf85a64516b02015e59b0e169453b00fb18380869
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$550.02
Total PnL
$-67.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 24?
217 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$217.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 24?
180 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$180.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?
101 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$100.50
$0.50
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.15
$2.15
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 24?$217.01May 25, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?$100.03May 25, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 24?$180.01May 25, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$30.03May 25, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$40.04May 25, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?$80.08May 25, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23?$347.35May 25, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23?$347.02May 22, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$40.00May 22, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$30.00May 22, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 23?$80.01May 22, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$16.00May 22, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?$29.03May 22, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$150.15May 22, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$300.30May 22, 00:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.95May 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?$29.00May 21, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$150.01May 21, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$300.02May 21, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?$461.46May 21, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $237.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".