Cluttered-Gain
0xf86c606c8a360c38037cdab2f81fb5ed2e94ba99
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-230.35
Realised
$29.33
Win rate
77%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- NO
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
108 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$108.30
$5.98
- NO
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$14.70
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
75 shares @ 89.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.84
$2.61
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
180 shares @ 78.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$67.44
$-74.39
- NO
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
86 shares @ 90.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$64.07
$-13.53
- NO
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 88.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$54.21
$0.73
- NO
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?
32 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.46
$0.40
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
80 shares @ 68.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$29.31
$-25.69
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
29 shares @ 75.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.55
$5.62
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?
27 shares @ 90.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.65
$2.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.57May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.90May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.52May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$14.02May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$115.74May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$125.59May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.61May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.87May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.84May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$17.62May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$28.50May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.81May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$9.45May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$30.72May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$12.53May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$7.67May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$16.63May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.13May 16, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".