Trifling-Ravioli
0xf8eb681fb8909496dc15aea5b233b310e2db8473
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-32.45
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1050 shares @ 62.4¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$635.25
$-19.75
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2040 shares @ 18.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.00
$-18.59
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2195 shares @ 13.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$340.22
$44.98
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
400 shares @ 48.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$338.00
$146.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
300 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.50
$4.43
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
3359 shares @ 13.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$218.31
$-229.89
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3488 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.54
$11.03
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 68.2¢·now 85.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.79
$25.37
- NO
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
125 shares @ 91.4¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.94
$-0.29
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
464 shares @ 37.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.12
$-79.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$15.27May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$8.03May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.04May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.66May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.20May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.40May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$25.80May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.60May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$0.48May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$6.08May 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$0.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.90May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$6.15May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$0.33May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$1.45May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$0.01May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$0.14May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$0.38May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$1.76May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$6.55May 18, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".