Expensive-Owl
0xf915728ba9dcb35ad3c909c3d6fe2d75eecf0c01
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$107.78
Total PnL
$4.17
Realised
$0.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$30.16
$10.16
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$3.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.56
$-1.44
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
7 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.14
$0.14
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.39
$2.39
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
12 shares @ 83.6¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.26
$-5.74
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
4 shares @ 51.4¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.62
$1.62
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.42
$0.42
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 71.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$-0.12
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.00May 18, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?$0.00May 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?$1.17May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.24May 16, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$1.18May 16, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.12May 16, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.04May 16, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$1.25May 16, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.56May 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$1.97May 16, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$5.12May 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 17?$1.01May 16, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?$1.02May 16, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$7.13May 16, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 15?$1.14May 15, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?$2.11May 15, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?$1.06May 15, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 15?$1.11May 15, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".