Assured-Stair
0xf9d1c8c2983e3817797758ab51747934c00f73ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$42.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
227 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$205.68
$5.68
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
226 shares @ 88.6¢·now 88.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.23
$0.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
126 shares @ 79.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$121.91
$21.91
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$115.63
$15.63
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
153 shares @ 65.5¢·now 73.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.75
$12.75
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1351 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$111.49
$11.49
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
606 shares @ 16.5¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$110.61
$10.61
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$109.70
$9.70
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
654 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$108.82
$8.82
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1163 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$105.23
$5.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$37.65May 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$0.75May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$310.56May 18, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$109.23May 18, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$139.30May 18, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 18, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$117.65May 18, 11:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.56May 16, 19:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner$10.14May 11, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$78.95May 11, 16:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $42.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".