Mad-Refuge
0xfa28c521b5c2c7c81dd55162cda73e401558c37e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$157.16
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$85.05
Win rate
71%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 20?
85 shares @ 21.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$22.60
$4.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 20?
60 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$21.30
$1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?
57 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$18.49
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 20?
56 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$17.43
$-1.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?
45 shares @ 38.4¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$17.32
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?
40 shares @ 38.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$17.20
$2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
39 shares @ 36.7¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$14.82
$0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?
25 shares @ 36.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.89
$1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?
43 shares @ 31.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.49
$-5.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 20?
16 shares @ 38.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.32
$0.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?$0.39May 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 20?$1.96May 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 20?$2.20May 20, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?$0.67May 20, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?$2.20May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 20?$2.80May 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?$1.03May 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?$1.88May 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?$0.25May 20, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 20?$3.21May 20, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$0.53May 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?$5.00May 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?$0.10May 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?$4.62May 20, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?$2.30May 20, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$5.79May 20, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 92 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".