Portly-Yahoo
0xfa323e40632edca701abc6c8cf1f82175909bd9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$81.2K
Total PnL
$-156.9K
Realised
$-11.6K
Win rate
14%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50000 shares @ 68.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.7K
$445.30
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
9546 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$134.79
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
9500 shares @ 64.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.7K
$547.51
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
268591 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.7K
$447.20
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
6200 shares @ 59.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$-195.61
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4941 shares @ 8.5¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$2.7K
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2500 shares @ 56.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.5K
$1.1K
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
2444 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.4K
$116.09
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
3700 shares @ 48.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$400.51
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
2500 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$12.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.16May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.19May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$550.00May 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$550.00May 16, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$1.18May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.18May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.08May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$1.5KMay 14, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$3.10May 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$12.40May 14, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$3.10May 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$3.10May 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$2.45May 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$2.45May 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$47.76May 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$577.08May 14, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$1.21May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.02May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$109.29May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 13, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $142.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".