Complicated-Damage
0xfacd5eb6566d469f71fb42415177c74eb27d9109
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$103.5K
Total PnL
$4.6K
Realised
$4.5K
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
31842 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.6K
$344.73
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
20975 shares @ 90.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.6K
$683.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
13000 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.8K
$193.50
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.3K
$-280.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
5248 shares @ 88.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.2K
$587.82
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5400 shares @ 84.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$461.92
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$-90.00
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.0K
$656.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$258.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
4000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$472.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.77May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.76May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 12, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.44May 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$7.0KMay 10, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.8KMay 10, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.4KMay 10, 16:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$27.07May 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.30May 10, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.58May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$576.13May 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$46.18May 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$79.87May 9, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$36.76May 9, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$56.73May 9, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $504.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".