Lustrous-Intervenor
0xfad9afbdf4cb8c9dd00950acb79ff0bfa747a3d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$638.40
Total PnL
$81.32
Realised
$2.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
228 shares @ 83.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$219.47
$28.77
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 87.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.50
$9.00
- YES
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
71 shares @ 91.2¢·now 88.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$62.98
$-2.02
- NO
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
61 shares @ 80.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.94
$4.14
- NO
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$48.50
$8.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.50
$0.50
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.50
$8.50
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 64.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.58
$3.83
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.09
$1.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$111.60May 8, 10:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$77.00May 7, 16:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.50May 1, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $25.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".