Smoggy-Theology
0xfadb6c067341b7e2651b5919bb17ba7ae59ee3dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.45
Total PnL
$-552.42
Realised
$65.22
Win rate
48%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.90
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 23?
80 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.40
$-0.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.15
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 22?
387 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-34.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 11?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 15?
270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 23?$0.09May 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 23?$0.44May 23, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 23?$0.39May 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 23?$1.08May 23, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 23?$0.10May 23, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 23?$0.10May 23, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 23?$0.10May 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 23?$1.00May 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 23?$2.70May 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 23?$1.60May 23, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 23?$1.98May 23, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 23?$0.26May 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 23?$0.03May 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 23?$0.48May 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 23?$0.48May 23, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 23?$0.75May 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 23?$0.06May 23, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 23?$0.18May 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 23?$0.19May 23, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 23?$0.23May 23, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".