Tense-Precedent
0xfb5148fc7223630e0967dbfa8cd920d83ab4742d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$163.5K
Total PnL
$-189.2K
Realised
$7.9K
Win rate
71%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
81401 shares @ 53.5¢·now 64.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.6K
$9.0K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
23120 shares @ 81.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.1K
$1.3K
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
18000 shares @ 74.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.1K
$656.15
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
15000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.6K
$525.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
34217 shares @ 32.7¢·now 31.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.8K
$-354.24
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
10608 shares @ 88.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.5K
$106.54
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
28061 shares @ 46.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.8K
$-4.2K
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
12171 shares @ 60.8¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.7K
$-701.69
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
7149 shares @ 91.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.7K
$167.69
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
5772 shares @ 72.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.3K
$1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$352.80May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$238.14May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$332.53May 18, 00:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$29.65May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.26May 18, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$42.97May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$25.50May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$25.64May 17, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$21.20May 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$230.61May 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$8.17May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$13.37May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.49May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$894.54May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.4KMay 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$918.70May 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$537.00May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.7KMay 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$901.00May 17, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $220.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".