Quarterly-Nightingale
0xfba65b33e7d8f978ab92921e2a2146789bee3dc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$12.4K
Total PnL
$-58.1K
Realised
$344.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
150736 shares @ 21.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.3K
$-20.6K
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
1059 shares @ 28.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.64
$-109.36
- YES
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$185.00
$135.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
986 shares @ 10.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.64
$-1.36
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.45
$-4.54
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$90.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
2381 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.92
$-13.08
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.45
$21.45
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.58
$0.58
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
99 shares @ 30.1¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.26
$18.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 18, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 18, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$100.00May 18, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$100.00May 18, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$490.00May 15, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.0KMay 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$171.66May 15, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$328.18May 15, 11:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$317.00May 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$310.00May 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$310.00May 11, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$937.50May 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$45.00May 11, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $594.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".