Third-Marathon
0xfc0a18473915928784716ad62f32c4fa8cd28c9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$226.04
Total PnL
$3.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
223 shares @ 22.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$50.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
388 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.03
$2.04
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1268 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$24.21
$4.21
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 19.4¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.55
$4.55
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
115 shares @ 10.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.94
$3.94
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
30 shares @ 50.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
67 shares @ 17.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 6.9¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.70
$-4.10
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 27.5¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.04
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 18, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.62May 17, 12:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.28May 16, 05:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.11May 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 10, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 10, 14:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$24.58May 5, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".