First-Fowl
0xfc2e30719f138277fce2f768bb0582db9272d0cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$517.21
Total PnL
$-481.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
592 shares @ 68.9¢·now 65.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$390.01
$-17.99
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
357 shares @ 36.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$115.87
$-12.48
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?
11 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$11.33
$1.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
751 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
520 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
315 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 26?
160 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
153 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?
151 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$131.64May 24, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$413.08May 24, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?$10.08May 24, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$16.13May 24, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 25?$0.00May 24, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?$25.74Nov 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 26?$20.00Nov 24, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?$20.00Nov 24, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on November 25?$10.00Nov 24, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 25?$25.00Nov 24, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$20.00Nov 24, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?$195.91Nov 24, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$344.83Nov 24, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?$92.08Nov 21, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$100.00Nov 21, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$53.96Nov 21, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?$50.00Nov 21, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?$50.00Nov 21, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET$1.00Nov 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 21?$112.83Nov 21, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $76.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".