Mellow-Cellar
0xfc631c76421430b3916d578165b6b50df24f596f
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$541.33
Total PnL
$42.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
154 shares @ 90.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$150.26
$10.26
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
230 shares @ 30.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$94.30
$25.30
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
92 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$92.31
$32.31
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
78 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$68.57
$8.57
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
131 shares @ 30.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.91
$3.91
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
49 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$40.73
$0.73
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.67
$6.67
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$10.34
$0.06
- NO
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
70 shares @ 42.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.86
$-20.14
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$-5.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.28Mar 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9.34Mar 26, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$69.00Mar 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$60.00Mar 26, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$10.00Mar 26, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$20.00Mar 26, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$10.00Mar 26, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$40.00Mar 26, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$40.00Mar 26, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$60.00Mar 26, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$30.00Mar 26, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$140.00Mar 26, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $37.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".