Bruised-Venison
0xfc83d669a3ba730dd0a73a8c547d78181cdbe1aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$152.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1516 shares @ 26.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$568.50
$174.34
- NO
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$30.09
$0.01
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.33
$0.64
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.47
$-0.15
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
29 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.85
$1.37
- NO
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
27 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.52
$-0.15
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
29 shares @ 90.7¢·now 90.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.92
$0.06
- NO
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$25.07
$0.24
- NO
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$24.59
$0.14
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
29 shares @ 78.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$22.78
$-0.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romano Schmid have the most assists during the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$19.38May 16, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.82May 16, 04:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00May 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.60May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.15May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.29May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$11.79May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.53May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.11May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.72May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$24.09May 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$4.77May 15, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$14.66May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$11.89May 15, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$218.20May 15, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.97May 15, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$4.67May 15, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".