Shameless-Temporary
0xfcf2059c73fe5ebfe708591500ed3fc821497279
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-30.67
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
602 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$527.11
$27.11
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
270 shares @ 39.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$250.95
$144.67
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
276 shares @ 69.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$222.18
$29.94
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2822 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.25
$11.74
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$105.56
$5.56
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$99.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
94 shares @ 37.4¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.11
$45.87
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$62.50
$3.50
- OVER 5.5
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5
79 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.92
$1.97
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
268 shares @ 18.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.68
$-4.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$24.00May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.17May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5$8.16May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5$16.32May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5$16.32May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$14.04May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5$8.16May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$101.38May 18, 04:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.10May 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$1.14May 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.32May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.11May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.01May 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.01May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.95May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.14May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$7.00May 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$1.65May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.80May 17, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $19.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".