Adolescent-Cereal
0xfd80b243058e5a17372cc6820a4c118cfd89161c
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$556.58
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
491 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$476.05
$230.54
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
491 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.98
$-230.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.88
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.72
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.49
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.68
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 23?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.69
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on May 23?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$6.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C on May 22?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.40
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?$9.31May 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on May 23?$9.90May 22, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on May 23?$6.50May 22, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on May 23?$7.70May 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 23?$9.20May 22, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 23?$6.70May 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 23?$9.50May 22, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?$6.92May 22, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 21?$9.11May 22, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?$9.41May 22, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?$9.61May 21, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 21?$7.31May 21, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?$9.70May 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?$9.30May 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C on May 22?$6.40May 21, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?$6.90May 21, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?$9.40May 21, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?$9.60May 21, 06:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 21, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".