Expensive-Grabbag
0xfe2790a266e7370ee23a3ccfc445f8ce9bb48ddc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$14.94
Total PnL
$-48.33
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
1 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?$1.69May 23, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?$1.03May 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.00May 23, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.00May 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.00May 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.03May 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.03May 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vegas Golden Knights vs Montreal Canadiens be the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals matchup?$1.02May 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens be the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals matchup?$1.02May 23, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?$1.01May 23, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-23?$1.03May 23, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)$1.18May 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.06May 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$1.03May 23, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Bol: Nikita Mashtakov vs Maks Kasnikowski$1.03May 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Stijn Hofman vs Romain Faucon$1.03May 23, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Toyama: Hiromi Abe vs Sara Yoshida$1.03May 23, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)$1.00May 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$1.03May 23, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".