Altruistic-Shaw
0xfe495635aad93a476355c5ce38ae0af530197a4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-177.05
Win rate
53%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$955.51
$25.51
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$744.99
$-15.00
- NO
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
694 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$634.67
$3.47
- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
494 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$493.50
$86.12
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
666 shares @ 51.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$469.54
$126.54
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
500 shares @ 86.5¢·now 91.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$458.00
$25.25
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$312.64
$-2.50
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
240 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.07
$-0.60
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
253 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$204.80
$15.44
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
500 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$202.50
$27.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "Oil" this week?$34.28May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$19.00May 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$0.01May 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?$0.04May 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 17?$0.27May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 17?$0.20May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$0.08May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$0.28May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$44.21May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$0.20May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$0.01May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?$0.01May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?$0.01May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?$0.13May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$20.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?$1.10May 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?$22.90May 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 17?$0.01May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 17?$0.01May 18, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $31.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".