0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$543.7K
Total PnL
$-94.4K
Realised
$-305.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
204255 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.7K
$3.7K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
195890 shares @ 83.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.6K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
317660 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.1K
$-158.83
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
213194 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.5K
$-364.56
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
288763 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.4K
$144.38
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
282753 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.6K
$-706.88
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
117832 shares @ 18.4¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.5K
$-141.52
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
151502 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.5K
$75.75
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
205855 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.6K
$-102.93
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7320 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.3K
$439.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KMay 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.44May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.04May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.92May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.32May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.01May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.42May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.34May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.08May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.8KMay 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.28May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$8.10May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$10.00May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$100.00May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.66May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.37May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.86May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.82May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.68May 18, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$40.4K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 17, 08:00 UTC → May 17, 16:57 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.1K@17¢May 17, 16:57 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.3K@9¢May 17, 07:54 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$40.4K
2 trades
30d volume
$40.4K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$24.3K · 60% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $122.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".