Resolves in 38h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
33% 15.0pp
24h volume
$429.2K
Orrery Pulse33% current14-34% 7D range+12.5pp net move
37%30%24%17%10%
33%
May 2133%+12.5pp from start
May 15May 16May 17May 18May 18May 19May 20May 21
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsUMA PENDING
High
Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
—
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresPAST EVENT
—
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsPAST EVENT
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesPAST EVENT
—
—
Spurs vs. ThunderPAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-6.5)PAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-5.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-7.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-8.5)PAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5PAST EVENT
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Golden Knights vs. AvalanchePAST EVENT
—
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 63/95 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 74/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? probability down 24.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A resolves in 10h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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