Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Resolves in 20h — verify the source
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UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
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Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
36% 24.5pp
24h volume
$216.8K
Orrery Pulse27% current19-51% 7D range-23.0pp net move
57%46%35%24%13%
27%
May 2127%-23.0pp from start
May 18May 18May 18May 19May 19May 20May 20May 21
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesUMA PENDING
High
High
Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresUMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)UMA PENDING
High
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?UMA PENDING
High
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago SkyUMA PENDING
High
Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 91/78 90/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 95/81 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 78 | 62/87 98/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? probability down 24.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A resolves in 8h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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