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5 things to verify

5 observations · 32 resolution risks

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MARKET PULSE
Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)LIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
4% 1.0pp
24h volume
$11
Orrery Pulse3% current1-46% 7D range-42.5pp net move
60%45%30%15%0%
3%
May 213%-42.5pp from start
May 18May 18May 19May 19May 19May 20May 20May 21
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RESOLUTION RISK
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
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Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
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  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? probability down 24.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
  • Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A resolves in 10h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
  • —
RISK INCREASED (3)
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