Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheUMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)UMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresUMA PENDING
High
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis CardinalsUMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)UMA PENDING
High
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)UMA PENDING
High
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago SkyUMA PENDING
High
Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesPAST EVENT
—
—
—
—
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/78 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 79/87 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 77/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? probability up 43.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A resolves in 8h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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