Will voter turnout be 95% or higher in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$9.1K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast diviLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $9.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast diviLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- May 30, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolutionLOW
Market resolves in 276.3h
- 11:39SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
9- 59¢+11.0
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Politics · Vol $58.14
- 13¢+4.5
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 22¢-28.0
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Politics · Vol $63.90
- 100¢0.0
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Politics · Vol $4.5M
- 1¢+0.1
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics · Vol $2.2M
- 8¢+1.3
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Politics · Vol $1.8M
- 1¢-0.1
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $472.1K
- 4¢-5.8
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Politics · Vol $359.7K
- 1¢-0.1
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $324.6K
Market Description
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
general electionReason
Election markets are Politics.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will voter turnout be 95% or higher in the 2026 Maltese general election?"?
As of Mon, 18 May 2026 11:39:09 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and -1.5pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 30, 2026 (2026-05-30T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $6.1K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $9.1K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.3¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.