Livid-Comma
0x017f49ae2e324cab8b417bf6f39374814d15c966
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$796.68
Total PnL
$3.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
414 shares @ 82.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$335.37
$-4.63
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
115 shares @ 87.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.04
$5.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
61 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.91
$0.91
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
58 shares @ 86.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.03
$1.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
49 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.81
$0.81
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
43 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.68
$1.68
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
31 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.13
$0.83
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
26 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.35
$0.35
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
26 shares @ 95.5¢·now 83.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.80
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.04May 21, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$10.01May 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?$4.00May 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$4.01May 21, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$7.21May 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?$4.74May 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$3.01May 20, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?$4.00May 20, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$3.26May 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$4.07May 19, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$5.12May 18, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$5.32May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$5.00May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$3.01May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?$4.01May 18, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?$4.37May 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?$8.07May 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 17?$4.04May 16, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?$2.02May 16, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".