Serene-Checkout
0x02be12ad25bd57c0e0173d5ce9d53e970985fa1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$98.95
Total PnL
$-159.38
Realised
$14.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
55 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$32.17
$-1.37
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.46
$4.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 21?
8 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$7.48
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?
9 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$7.38
$-0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 21?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.86
$0.21
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
70 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.38
$0.56
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 39.4¢·now 36.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.62
$-0.33
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.58
$0.33
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 32.4¢·now 28.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.81
$-0.43
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 21?$6.67May 20, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?$1.13May 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 21?$7.62May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 21?$7.54May 20, 02:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.90May 19, 17:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.90May 18, 04:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 17?$7.01May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 17?$10.00May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C or higher on May 18?$7.98May 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.24May 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 18?$5.44May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 18?$0.21May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 18?$7.35May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or higher on May 18?$6.55May 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 18?$11.31May 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.38May 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?$7.56May 17, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".