Gleaming-Familiar
0x035fa6cf792ae231501a99b554315ac2b62a33eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$124.28
Total PnL
$-82.02
Realised
$4.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?
350 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.55
$-14.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.90
$-8.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
600 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.30
$-6.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
600 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.10
$-7.55
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
150 shares @ 7.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.72
$-3.22
- YES
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?
100 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.75
$0.32
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.75
$-0.25
- NO
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
211 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.35
$-1.52
- YES
US bank failure by May 31?
125 shares @ 7.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.06
$-4.29
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
50 shares @ 15.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.65
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$0.21May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.12May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.80May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.80May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.80May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$0.78May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$1.17May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Magnet" this week?$0.20May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Traitor" this week?$2.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$2.00May 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$2.50May 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$0.40May 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$0.40May 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$0.05May 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$7.55May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$0.06May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$0.04May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?$0.11May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$8.42May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$7.00May 17, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".