Confused-Dead
0x05ddbe2edc2fcb293eb149028f45e93cec14305c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$587.87
Total PnL
$16.68
Realised
$8.69
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
173 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$170.74
$0.18
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
108 shares @ 92.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$106.72
$7.13
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
82 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.32
$0.16
- NO
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
54 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.87
$0.21
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
53 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.32
$1.33
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.07
$0.60
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
28 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
17 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.68
$0.05
- NO
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
14 shares @ 93.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.16
$0.39
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.44
$0.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Comesana (-1.5) vs Royer (+1.5)$5.00May 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$58.38May 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$199.92May 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$5.57May 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$17.07May 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$61.15May 18, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$14.78May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$114.80May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.10May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$89.63May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.05May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$24.71May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$140.56May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$161.09May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$195.96May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLDOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$7.60May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$200.91May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$24.61May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$24.66May 18, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $40.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".