Questionable-Metric
0x0a3aa0d9e27e287f6b7d044fdf47a8c03fc5f612
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$97.27
Total PnL
$-100.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 70.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
53 shares @ 24.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.22
$-3.78
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.91
$-2.09
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
26 shares @ 19.3¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.05
$1.05
- YES
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?
14 shares @ 41.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.34
$0.34
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 41.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 43.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.19
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$1.02May 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$1.02May 16, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$3.76May 10, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.12May 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$3.08May 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 8, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$1.03May 7, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?$5.09May 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$4.85May 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 7, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion$1.03May 7, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$5.06May 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$1.02May 4, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".