Sparse-Mixture
0x0b9ee332cef4ace68b10a546475af5cbf331154a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
178
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$42.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
472 shares @ 86.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$450.81
$40.81
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
191 shares @ 62.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.38
$41.39
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
145 shares @ 68.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$141.67
$41.67
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
120 shares @ 83.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.92
$10.92
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$92.44
$-7.56
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.13
$-16.88
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
69 shares @ 29.1¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.55
$31.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.71
$4.71
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
284 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.62
$-4.38
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
305 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$14.34
$3.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$368.33May 16, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$100.24May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$101.23May 12, 08:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$116.28May 9, 16:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$100.56May 8, 07:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $111.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".