0x123431dfba9512a9073db4eaf176d2326a08c1bb
0x123431dfba9512a9073db4eaf176d2326a08c1bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-224.60
Realised
$1.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
419 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$403.03
$3.02
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
411 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$399.24
$-0.79
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
365 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$346.72
$21.56
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
492 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$312.28
$12.29
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
206 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$199.40
$-0.62
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1773 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$83.35
$14.19
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
69 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$67.57
$1.61
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4825 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.24
$-277.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$158.25May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$3.05May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.56May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$122.00May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$3.05May 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$6.10May 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$5.98May 18, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$221.10May 17, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$410.45May 17, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$58.66May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$84.28May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$57.16May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$184.38May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.65May 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$200.20May 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$199.98May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$200.22May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$66.07May 16, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$434.15May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$114.05May 13, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $95.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".