Damaged-Cross
0x138a5ece3bb1216dcbb3dce010d71f02bddb8197
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$361.64
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-46.45
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?
52 shares @ 88.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.55
$-2.15
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
40 shares @ 84.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.00
$-2.60
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$28.06
$-0.15
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
25 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.22
$-0.28
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.92
$-0.08
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$18.90
$-0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.51
$-0.29
- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$17.90
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$17.30
$-1.10
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$17.16
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$29.97May 18, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$100.00May 18, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$16.13May 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$28.36May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$15.93May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$28.32May 17, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.49May 17, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$4.52May 17, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$16.52May 17, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 19?$18.09May 17, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5$20.00May 17, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$97.09May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?$17.80May 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?$16.44May 17, 01:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$15.26May 16, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.13May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$16.47May 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$17.03May 16, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".