Fine-Capitulation
0x15a681d447124c90dbd85be526af18ca1611bf5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$45.3K
Total PnL
$-89.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
46555 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.3K
$-232.78
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20738 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.6K
$-103.69
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
100000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.5K
$-25.5K
- NO
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10931 shares @ 32.9¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.6K
$6.03
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
33333 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-519.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16559 shares @ 7.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$157.31
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$55.55
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1051 shares @ 78.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$877.63
$54.48
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5915 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$535.35
$32.53
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
49 shares @ 19.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$18.19
$8.97
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.27May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.46May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.04May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.97May 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.90May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.09May 17, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.10May 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$123.47May 17, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$90.73May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$201.45May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.40May 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$21.00May 17, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.67May 17, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.10May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.21May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$19.53May 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.44May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$19.53May 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.93May 17, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".