Firsthand-Eaglet
0x1cdd071bb612de6d66d0c882b676c663697de595
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$16.1K
Win rate
87%
142 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1314 shares @ 74.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$234.46
- NO
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
915 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$903.56
$2.64
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
917 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$848.42
$-2.50
- NO
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
784 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$783.75
$20.71
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
634 shares @ 53.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$459.47
$123.13
- YES
Ramp IPO before 2027?
550 shares @ 24.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.72
$-78.19
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3361 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.57
$-5.04
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1140 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-131.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1050 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-448.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?
1039 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-145.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$6.40May 18, 05:09 UTC
- MERGEWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$20.00May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$16.60May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$12.00May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.31May 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.34May 18, 05:04 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$40.00May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.47May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$17.62May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$17.62May 18, 05:02 UTC
- MERGEWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$0.72May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.10May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.85May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.81May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$2.65May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$2.90May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.33May 18, 04:54 UTC
- MERGEWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$12.00May 18, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 142 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".