Beautiful-Limitation
0x1cea7192af5d7b1826083a19c5be75115a2df32a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$98.56
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1026 shares @ 33.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$774.78
$431.38
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
655 shares @ 42.1¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$327.34
$51.35
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3098 shares @ 21.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.78
$-419.74
- NO
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
752 shares @ 30.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$206.83
$-25.42
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
902 shares @ 31.6¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$193.90
$-91.52
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
443 shares @ 42.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.82
$2.82
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
527 shares @ 39.9¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.33
$-25.67
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
198 shares @ 49.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.18
$66.42
- YES
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
774 shares @ 12.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$131.55
$31.55
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
846 shares @ 24.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.12
$-78.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$4.55May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$1.45May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$50.63May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$5.17May 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$0.35May 18, 03:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.56May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$1.36May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$1.03May 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$32.00May 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$0.78May 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$1.12May 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$1.20May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$0.40May 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$2.80May 17, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.2%?$5.24May 17, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between -0.3% and -0.1%?$5.64May 17, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal to -0.4%?$2.10May 17, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$20.71May 17, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".