Perfumed-Moat
0x1cfc260bfa2b5ae89377863180ca3b4f5c862111
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$56.9K
Total PnL
$14.5K
Realised
$41.9K
Win rate
74%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
19864 shares @ 79.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.0K
$3.2K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19867 shares @ 55.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.8K
$2.8K
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
6577 shares @ 63.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.5K
$2.3K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8775 shares @ 54.3¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$862.54
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
5704 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$139.29
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6445 shares @ 35.6¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$2.2K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10552 shares @ 27.1¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4918 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$130.34
$4.26
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
72305 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-27.62
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
72305 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-27.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$49.69May 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$351.21May 18, 05:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$270.53May 15, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$16.68May 11, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 10, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$282.07May 9, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$111.66May 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$7.3KMay 9, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.75May 9, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5.9KMay 8, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ava rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$50.00May 8, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$51.02May 8, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".