Demanding-Thermals
0x1de95d93a1e4c4f874222c97ff9d51c0b2c731b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$67.01
Total PnL
$9.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
14 shares @ 80.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$13.71
$2.71
- CINCINNATI REDS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.77
$3.77
- HOUSTON ASTROS
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$7.25
$2.25
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 71.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.72
$0.72
- BOSTON RED SOX
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.48
$1.48
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
12 shares @ 43.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
5 shares @ 61.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals$3.03May 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$1.01May 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$5.02May 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.04May 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$5.03May 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins$5.05May 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$5.06May 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$3.15May 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$7.62May 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?$3.54May 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$5.11May 19, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 20?$2.03May 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.14May 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.02May 19, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$4.66May 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$4.46May 19, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.04May 19, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.69May 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$3.12May 19, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 19, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 01:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".