Verifiable-Macaw
0x1e1aed3928a9617e7c7ae674c4fa7aebbd9d7690
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$35.1K
Win rate
58%
154 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
12637 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-423.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
12637 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-423.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
12637 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-423.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
12637 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-423.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
11828 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-422.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
11800 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-399.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
11800 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-399.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
11800 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-399.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
11600 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-395.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
10966 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-385.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$0.23May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.34May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$17.67May 18, 08:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?$150.00May 18, 08:34 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$242.70May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$25.70May 18, 08:33 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$34.20May 18, 08:33 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$42.17May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$21.90May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$39.35May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$39.85May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$40.35May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.37May 18, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.64May 18, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$21.53May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.16May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.26May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$22.17May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?$1.94May 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$4.29May 18, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $46.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 154 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".