Glaring-Instance
0x1fcc97d92bccec98ab57be7f286c94425d77701b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$420.96
Total PnL
$-85.10
Realised
$-3.49
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 68.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$70.43
$14.48
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
52 shares @ 37.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.13
$1.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
87 shares @ 27.8¢·now 22.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$19.44
$-4.88
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.94
$3.95
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
20 shares @ 76.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$13.37
$-2.10
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
16 shares @ 63.9¢·now 82.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.83
$2.85
- YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
13 shares @ 78.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.72
$2.73
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.89
$1.89
- NO
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.72
$1.72
- NO
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
12 shares @ 64.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.71
$4.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$9.99May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.22May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$1.97May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$1.97May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$1.97May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$0.11May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.44May 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi$7.67May 18, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6.56May 18, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 20?$7.50May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 20?$0.51May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 20?$1.30May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton$2.48May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.45May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$8.67May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 18?$10.38May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on May 18?$10.17May 18, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 17?$0.47May 17, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 17?$8.48May 17, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".